{"id":27352,"date":"2023-03-14T11:57:58","date_gmt":"2023-03-14T10:57:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/deepseareporter.dev.phosdev.se\/?p=27352"},"modified":"2023-03-14T11:58:12","modified_gmt":"2023-03-14T10:58:12","slug":"arktis-varms-upp-snabbare-an-beraknat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/deepseareporter.dev.phosdev.se\/sv\/arktis-varms-upp-snabbare-an-beraknat\/","title":{"rendered":"Arktis v\u00e4rms upp snabbare \u00e4n ber\u00e4knat"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Havsisen p\u00e5 Arktis kommer att sm\u00e4lta betydligt snabbare \u00e4n man trott, eftersom dagens klimatmodeller underskattar takten. Det visar ny forskning.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uppv\u00e4rmningen av Arktis p\u00e5verkar hela jorden. Men att g\u00f6ra m\u00e4tningar p\u00e5 det sv\u00e5rtillg\u00e4ngliga Arktis \u00e4r vanskligt, vilket bidrar till att det finns relativt f\u00e5 observationer d\u00e4rifr\u00e5n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Det \u00e4r bland annat os\u00e4kert exakt hur tjock isen \u00e4r, vilket kan avg\u00f6ra hur snabbt den sm\u00e4lter, s\u00e4ger Torben K\u00f6nigk, chef f\u00f6r global klimatmodellering vid SMHI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bristen p\u00e5 kunskap g\u00f6r att klimatmodellerna kan ge fel svar n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller hur snabbt Arktis v\u00e4rms upp. Detta enligt tv\u00e5 nya studier som publiceras i tidskriften Journal of Climate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Till exempel tar modellerna fel p\u00e5 vattenm\u00e4ngderna och temperaturen p\u00e5 vattnet som str\u00f6mmar upp i polarhavet. Forskarnas slutsats \u00e4r att polarisen kommer att sm\u00e4lta snabbare \u00e4n ber\u00e4knat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

”Allvarligt”<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

– Detta \u00e4r allvarligt. Om v\u00e4rldens regeringar och organisationer ska kunna lita p\u00e5 klimatmodellerna m\u00e5ste de revideras. D\u00e4rf\u00f6r beh\u00f6ver forskningen och datainh\u00e4mtningen i Arktis prioriteras. I dagsl\u00e4get kan vi inte ge en bra prognos p\u00e5 hur fort isarna sm\u00e4lter i Arktis, s\u00e4ger C\u00e9line Heuz\u00e9, forskare i klimatvetenskap vid G\u00f6teborgs universitet, i ett pressmeddelande.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hon \u00e4r huvudf\u00f6rfattare till en av studierna, som j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt data fr\u00e5n modellerna med antaganden och observationer som gjorts. Den andra studien visar att olika klimatmodeller pekar \u00e5t olika h\u00e5ll n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller Arktis framtid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Arktis \u00e4r omr\u00e5det runt norra polcirkeln. N\u00e5gon tydlig gr\u00e4ns finns inte. Grafik: Anna-Lena Lindqvist\/TT<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fyra g\u00e5nger snabbare<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r inte f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen som forskning visar att man underskattat hur snabbt polerna v\u00e4rms upp. Tidigare har det sagts att uppv\u00e4rmningen av Arktis g\u00e5r mer \u00e4n dubbelt s\u00e5 snabbt som av resten av jorden, men i h\u00f6stas pekade en studie p\u00e5 att det g\u00e5r tre till fyra g\u00e5nger snabbare p\u00e5 Arktis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Att h\u00e5lla koll p\u00e5 Arktis \u00e4r viktigt av flera sk\u00e4l. Sm\u00e4ltande landisar bidrar till global havsniv\u00e5h\u00f6jning, och n\u00e4r is f\u00f6rsvinner bidrar det till ytterligare uppv\u00e4rmning genom att mer v\u00e4rme tas upp av havet i st\u00e4llet f\u00f6r att reflekteras bort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forskning pekar \u00e4ven p\u00e5 att ett uppv\u00e4rmt Arktis kan p\u00e5verka luftstr\u00f6mmar och eventuellt bidra till exempelvis torka och cykloner p\u00e5 andra delar av klotet, enligt Torben K\u00f6nigk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

”Tydligt tecken”<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

TT: B\u00f6r vi vara oroliga \u00f6ver det som h\u00e4nder p\u00e5 Arktis?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Ja. Vi har kommit till en punkt i klimatf\u00f6r\u00e4ndringarna d\u00e5 det n\u00e4stan \u00e4r om\u00f6jligt att hindra att isen d\u00e4r f\u00f6rsvinner helt under delar av sommaren. Det \u00e4r ett tydligt tecken p\u00e5 att vi misslyckats med att minska den globala uppv\u00e4rmningen, svarar K\u00f6nigk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forskarna bakom de nya studierna efterlyser en s\u00e4rskild klimatmodell anpassad f\u00f6r Arktis. Men Torben K\u00f6nigk \u00e4r inte s\u00e4ker p\u00e5 att det skulle hj\u00e4lpa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Jag tror att det \u00e4r b\u00e4ttre att ha globala modeller eftersom Arktis h\u00e4nger ihop med resten av jorden. Men man kan f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka att \u00f6ka uppl\u00f6sningen s\u00e5 att vi b\u00e4ttre kan beskriva hur varmare\u00a0vatten\u00a0r\u00f6r sig in i Arktis och bidrar till att sm\u00e4lta isen, s\u00e4ger han.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Havsisen p\u00e5 Arktis kommer att sm\u00e4lta betydligt snabbare \u00e4n man trott, eftersom dagens klimatmodeller underskattar takten. Det visar ny forskning.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":27350,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[244],"tags":[310,1205,736,1204],"class_list":["post-27352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-klimat-och-miljo","tag-arktis","tag-global-uppvarmning","tag-havsis","tag-klimat-forandringar"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nArktis v\u00e4rms upp snabbare \u00e4n ber\u00e4knat - Deep Sea Reporter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Havsisen p\u00e5 Arktis kommer att sm\u00e4lta betydligt snabbare \u00e4n man trott, eftersom dagens klimatmodeller underskattar takten. 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